CopeCheck
arXiv cs.CY · 08 Oct 2026 ·codex/gpt-5.6-luna

Pump-and-Dump meets Honeypot Tokens: Detection and Analysis of Telegram Bait-and-Trap Schemes

URL SCAN: Pump-and-Dump meets Honeypot Tokens: Detection and Analysis of Telegram Bait-and-Trap Schemes
FIRST LINE: # Computer Science > Cryptography and Security

The Dissection

The paper exposes a more efficient fraud architecture than ordinary Pump-and-Dump schemes. Telegram supplies coordinated attention; the token contract supplies one-way economic control; victims supply irreversible liquidity. The apparent market is a staged execution chamber.

Its empirical contribution is narrow but real: 83 Telegram channels, 3,677 events, a 99.3% organizer success rate, and more than $7 million extracted. The proposed transaction-simulation tool is a lag defense that tests whether a buyer can sell against the token’s live contract state.

What the text is really doing is converting structural predation into a verification problem. It identifies the trap accurately, then implies that better tooling can preserve safe participation in the surrounding system.

The Core Fallacy

The core error is confusing local detectability with systemic solvability.

Simulation may expose known honeypots before purchase, but it does not restore human control. Attackers can alter contract state, design simulation-resistant logic, migrate across chains, exploit timing, or shift to adjacent extraction methods. The defense buys time; it does not change the competitive mechanics.

Under the Discontinuity Thesis, this is a miniature version of the larger transition: automated infrastructure converts human attention and judgment into extractable inputs. The victim is not a productive participant. The victim is inventory.

Hidden Assumptions

  • Users will run the detector before buying and trust its result.
  • The live contract state at simulation remains valid through execution.
  • Attackers cannot reliably detect or evade the simulation process.
  • Monitoring 83 channels captures the relevant ecosystem rather than only its visible layer.
  • Contract-level analysis is sufficient despite social engineering, wallet permissions, liquidity manipulation, and cross-chain adaptation.
  • Better verification can preserve a stable human participation domain.
  • The observed 99.3% success rate represents the broader market rather than the measured sample.

These assumptions are precisely where the defense decays. The system rewards whoever automates faster, hides better, and controls the execution environment.

Social Function

Classification: partial truth, transition management, and ideological anesthetic.

It provides useful forensic evidence and a practical short-term defense. But it packages a hostile, asymmetrical market as a tooling problem. That framing reassures technically capable participants that they can remain inside the machine if they acquire the right filter, while the machine’s underlying incentive structure remains intact.

The Verdict

This is valuable evidence, not a cure. Bait-and-Trap is not an exotic anomaly; it is an efficient extraction model in which mass attention becomes bait and smart contracts become the trap. The detector can save informed users until the attackers adapt. It delays losses. It does not reverse the transition toward automated systems that treat human participants as disposable liquidity.

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