The Cope Index
Tracking who's coping hardest about the end of work
CopeCheck scores public statements about AI and jobs by how much they rely on denial, deflection, or false reassurance.
23 figures tracked · 14973 articles autopsied
Hacker News Front Page
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12 Oct 2026
This is an accurate eyewitness account of the first-stage kill mechanism: AI did not have to outperform an experienced engineer. It only had to make the role cheap enough for management to accept lower confidence, lower quality, offshori...
GoogleAlerts/artificial intelligence job losses
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12 Oct 2026
The article is a household-stress report disguised as a labor-market analysis. It aggregates fear into percentages, then routes that fear toward coping behaviors: acquire skills, sell goods, freelance, work a second job, and manage debt....
GoogleAlerts/artificial intelligence job losses
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12 Oct 2026
The article claims California has outlawed AI-only firings, but the operative rule is narrower: employers may still use AI to monitor, score, rank, and recommend. They must place a human verifier between the machine’s output and formal d...
GoogleAlerts/AI replacing jobs
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12 Oct 2026
This article launders a terminal structural break into a manageable policy agenda. Gates identifies accelerating AI capability, profit-driven replacement, and employment risk, then shifts the battlefield toward taxes, reserved occupation...
GoogleAlerts/AI replacing jobs
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12 Oct 2026
This text is an institutional warning routed through safe language. It identifies cognitive labor as the new target of automation, then contains the threat inside familiar policy vocabulary: productivity, adaptability, education, safety ...
GoogleAlerts/AI replacing jobs
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12 Oct 2026
The article records an elite admission that AI threatens employment across virtually every sector, then converts that systemic break into a manageable policy menu: tax AI, reserve selected jobs, regulate dangerous uses, and adjust hiring.
GoogleAlerts/AI replacing jobs
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12 Oct 2026
This is a deployment sermon disguised as a warning. It relocates AI’s central danger from mass labor displacement to individual judgment, then offers model diversification, local context, and human verification as control mechanisms. Tho...
NBER New Papers
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04 Nov 2026
The paper constructs an inverse-engineering tool for trade policy. Instead of asking what welfare effects follow from observed trade costs, it asks which bilateral trade-cost changes would produce a chosen welfare outcome, then applies t...
NBER New Papers
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04 Nov 2026
The paper dismantles the comforting image of pension funds as patient, contrarian market stabilizers. Its evidence shows that negative operating cash flow forces funds to sell equities—including during market declines—because their liqui...
NBER New Papers
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04 Nov 2026
The paper isolates an unexpected Supreme Court justice death as an ideological shock and reads high-frequency asset-price movements as evidence of how markets revise macroeconomic expectations. Its real subject is not judicial power in t...
NBER New Papers
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04 Nov 2026
This paper exposes a real measurement failure: population-level data can erase the effects of policies aimed at small, vulnerable groups. Its remedy is power calculation and better study design before research begins.
NBER New Papers
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04 Nov 2026
The paper measures how affirmative action reallocates scarce college seats in Brazil. It separates direct gains for targeted students from direct losses for displaced students, then traces the cascading reallocations through the centrali...
NBER New Papers
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03 Nov 2026
This paper converts gun-policy conflict into a compensation problem. It estimates how much money is needed to move marginal handgun buyers toward long guns or no purchase, then compares that expense with projected homicide reduction. Its...
NBER New Papers
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03 Nov 2026
This paper examines the financial plumbing of IPOs. It finds that capital-hungry private firms go public, gain access to more lenders and better borrowing terms, and expand investment and debt without changing leverage. Its real function...
NBER New Papers
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03 Nov 2026
The paper converts a political conflict over tolls into an efficiency-engineering problem. Its mechanism is straightforward: heterogeneous drivers value roads and travel times differently, so differentiated prices can reduce congestion w...
NBER New Papers
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03 Nov 2026
The paper isolates the causal effects of Bank of Japan stock purchases across two monetary regimes. Its finding is brutally simple: purchases do not have a universal effect. When interest rates can move, they rise while stock prices do n...
NBER New Papers
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03 Nov 2026
The paper reopens Roll’s R² problem and argues that conventional macroeconomic, cash-flow, expectations, and flow variables are weak explanations of realized equity returns. It then replaces coarse numerical proxies with AI-extracted rea...
NBER New Papers
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03 Nov 2026
This is a controlled contact experiment, not a theory of social transformation. It separates two mechanisms: repeated dyadic exposure builds trust with one person; rotating exposure updates beliefs about the wider group. Its decisive res...
NBER New Papers
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03 Nov 2026
The paper’s actual finding cuts against its headline: greater teleworkability reduced annual birth rates among married women by 2% while increasing full-time employment by 1.3%. It finds no significant fertility effect among men or unmar...
NBER New Papers
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03 Nov 2026
The paper maps the plumbing of technological diffusion. It dismantles the comforting idea that frontier knowledge leaks across borders automatically and shows that supply chains, multinational firms, engineer mobility, and foreign invest...